Prices are not certainty
Polymarket documentation describes prices as market belief in probability. ForecastIndex treats prices as signals, not guarantees.
Market coverage
Polymarket market breadth is a major reason readers compare it, but market count is not enough. Category fees, liquidity, spread, and resolution criteria can matter more.
Source checked 2026-07-16: Polymarket 101 documentation · Polymarket fee documentation. Desk research; no funded trading test.
Use the table as a research summary, then follow the linked sources for time-sensitive details.
| Market check | What to review | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Category | Crypto, sports, politics, culture, weather, or other. | Fee treatment can differ by category. |
| Liquidity | Order book depth and spread. | Thin markets can be expensive to enter or exit. |
| Resolution | Exact rules and sources. | Outcome wording decides settlement. |
| Availability | Whether you can place orders. | Access can vary by location. |
Polymarket documentation describes prices as market belief in probability. ForecastIndex treats prices as signals, not guarantees.
Official fee documentation describes category-specific taker fee rates and fee-free geopolitical/world events markets.
Before any trade, read the market wording and resolution source. The best platform UX cannot fix unclear criteria.
Compare the displayed probability with the executable price and available depth. Then read the market-specific settlement criteria before placing an order.
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ForecastIndex may earn from the Polymarket link. Use the research pages for invite-link caveats, fees, availability, funding method, and market rules before signing up.
Polymarket covers real-world event markets across categories. Readers should inspect current categories and individual market rules directly.
They are market-implied probabilities shaped by liquidity, incentives, fees, and access. They are not guarantees.
Track Polymarket Markets updates, fee changes, and platform comparisons. No trade calls, just market context.