Step 1
Read the market
Start with the market title, rules, deadline, and settlement source. Do not treat the headline as the whole contract.
Crypto market tools
Use this first ForecastIndex market page to frame Polymarket crypto market research around odds, liquidity, fees, availability, and resolution rules. Live odds automation and builder-attributed trading are the next phases.
ForecastIndex starts with the questions users should answer before routing any order through a Builder integration.
| Market type | What to check | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin and Ethereum event markets | Price, spread, liquidity, close time, and settlement wording. | Headline odds can be unusable if the spread is wide or the wording is ambiguous. |
| Short-duration up/down markets | Fee sensitivity, slippage, speed, and whether the market is appropriate for manual users. | Fast markets can magnify execution friction and user mistakes. |
| ETF, regulation, and policy markets | Resolution source, deadline, and exact event definition. | Policy outcomes often turn on wording and source selection. |
| Protocol and company-related markets | Whether the event has an authoritative source and enough liquidity. | Thin or source-unclear markets are harder to interpret. |
This read-only module attempts to load active Polymarket markets, filters for crypto-related terms, and shows a small research list without making trade recommendations.
If live data is unavailable, use the checklist below and verify current markets directly on Polymarket.
Step 1
Start with the market title, rules, deadline, and settlement source. Do not treat the headline as the whole contract.
Step 2
Use implied probability as context, then adjust for spread, fee, liquidity, and your own uncertainty.
Open probability calculatorStep 3
Check direct fee, builder fee state, spread, and whether the order size can reasonably fill.
Open fee calculatorThis page is structured so it can later receive live Gamma/CLOB market data, a watchlist button, and a manual order ticket. The order ticket should attach ForecastIndex builderCode only after the user confirms eligibility, fee impact, and market wording.
Before trading exists, the conversion goal is watchlist intent: learn which crypto market types users want tracked, then use that evidence in the Builder grant and verification application.
Track crypto prediction market alerts, fee changes, and platform comparisons. No trade calls, just market context.