Step 1
Read the market
Start with the market title, rules, deadline, and settlement source. Do not treat the headline as the whole contract.
Crypto market tools
Crypto prediction market research before you trade.
Use this ForecastIndex market page to frame Polymarket crypto market research around odds, liquidity, fees, availability, and resolution rules. The live list is informational and does not make trade recommendations.
Crypto vertical
Read-only research
No trade calls
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Crypto market research checklist
ForecastIndex starts with the questions users should answer before interpreting a crypto prediction market price.
| Market type | What to check | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin and Ethereum event markets | Price, spread, liquidity, close time, and settlement wording. | Headline odds can be unusable if the spread is wide or the wording is ambiguous. |
| Short-duration up/down markets | Fee sensitivity, slippage, speed, and whether the market is appropriate for manual users. | Fast markets can magnify execution friction and user mistakes. |
| ETF, regulation, and policy markets | Resolution source, deadline, and exact event definition. | Policy outcomes often turn on wording and source selection. |
| Protocol and company-related markets | Whether the event has an authoritative source and enough liquidity. | Thin or source-unclear markets are harder to interpret. |
Live Polymarket crypto market scan
This read-only module attempts to load active Polymarket markets, filters for crypto-related terms, and shows a small research list without making trade recommendations.
Loading active Polymarket markets...
If live data is unavailable, use the checklist below and verify current markets directly on Polymarket.
Step 2
Convert odds
Use implied probability as context, then adjust for spread, fee, liquidity, and your own uncertainty.
Open probability calculatorStep 3
Estimate cost
Check direct fee, spread, and whether the order size can reasonably fill.
Open fee calculatorResearch workflow
This page is structured around market wording, probability, fees, liquidity, and source links so users can inspect a market before deciding what to do elsewhere.
Limits of this page
Live market data can be incomplete or unavailable. Always inspect the current market wording and order book directly on the platform before relying on a price.
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