Read prices as probabilities
A 65 cent Yes price roughly implies a 65% market belief before fees, spreads, liquidity, and settlement uncertainty.
Beginner
Beginners should not start with the referral button. Start by understanding how prices work, where Polymarket is available, what fees can apply, and how market resolution works.
Use the table as a research summary, then follow the linked sources for time-sensitive details.
| Beginner concept | Plain-English meaning | Why it matters |
| Price | A market-implied probability. | Not a guarantee. |
| Yes/No shares | Outcome tokens that settle based on resolution. | Read market wording. |
| Fees | Certain markets can charge taker fees. | Cost affects results. |
| Eligibility | Location and rules determine access. | Check before signup. |
A 65 cent Yes price roughly implies a 65% market belief before fees, spreads, liquidity, and settlement uncertainty.
Beginners should read platform docs, test calculators, and compare alternatives before depositing or placing orders.
Prediction markets can be volatile, illiquid, restricted, or resolved differently than a casual reader expects.
If Polymarket still fits after checks, use the ForecastIndex referral link with the disclosure in mind.
Disclosed referral link
ForecastIndex may earn from the Polymarket link. Use the research pages for invite-link caveats, fees, availability, funding method, and market rules before signing up.
It can be understandable, but beginners still need to learn eligibility, wallet/funding flow, fees, and resolution rules.
Read the Polymarket review, then the beginner guide, fees page, and availability page.
Track Polymarket for Beginners updates, fee changes, and platform comparisons. No trade calls, just market context.